Senior Manager, Marketplace Intelligence and Forecasting

 

The Community You Will Join:

You will lead the Marketplace Intelligence and Forecasting team within Airbnb’s Marketplace Data Science group, leading a team of data scientists, applied scientists, and economists focused on growing and optimizing our two-sided marketplace. You will partner closely with supply, product, engineering, and marketing teams to drive strategic supply acquisition, host guidance, and marketplace optimization initiatives. Your team operates at the intersection of economics and machine learning, building the scientific foundation that powers Airbnb’s supply strategy and host success.

The Difference You Will Make:

You will set the strategic direction and organizational vision for how Airbnb identifies, acquires, and retains the right supply to power our marketplace growth. Your team’s work directly influences where and how we invest in supply acquisition, which hosts receive targeted outreach and personalized guidance to succeed on our platform, and how we balance supply and demand across our global marketplace. You will drive large cross-team initiatives that are key drivers of growth for Airbnb, establishing the technical and organizational foundation that enables balancing the quality and incrementality of listings while helping millions of hosts maximize their success. You will build and scale a world-class organization of data scientists, applied scientists, and economists who develop cutting-edge causal inference models, targeting systems, and forecasting capabilities.

A Typical Day: 

• Set organizational vision and strategy for marketplace intelligence, cascading goals across your team and aligning roadmaps to further long-term strategic objectives for Airbnb’s marketplace growth.
• Build and scale automated systems for supply acquisition, host targeting, and incentive optimization that operate at marketplace scale, powering customer-facing experiences such as personalized host insights, pricing guidance, and targeted outreach campaigns.
• Partner with engineering teams to operationalize sophisticated causal inference models into production systems that support internal decision-making and enable scaled host lifecycle programs, while maintaining high technical quality standards.
• Attract, retain, and develop senior individual contributors and technical leaders, building succession plans to close current and anticipated organizational gaps.
• Present complex analytical findings and strategic recommendations to executive leadership, influencing cross-functionally at the company level and contributing to papers and technical forums in the marketplace intelligence space.

Your Expertise:

• Advanced degree (PhD preferred) in Economics, Statistics, Computer Science, or related quantitative field with 12+ years of relevant industry experience (9+ years with PhD).
• 4+ years of people management experience leading high-performing teams of data scientists, applied scientists, economists, or applied researchers, with demonstrated ability to attract, retain, and grow senior individual contributors.
• Deep expertise in causal inference methodologies (advanced experimentation and causal machine learning) and their application to marketplace dynamics and business problems.
• Strong background in machine learning and statistical modeling, with hands-on experience building uplift and valuation systems as well as forecasting models at scale.
• Experience in marketplace, platform, or multi-sided business environments with demonstrated understanding of supply-demand dynamics, network effects, and two-sided marketplace challenges.
• Proven track record of setting organizational vision and strategy, translating complex modeling insights into business strategy, and driving cross-functional initiatives that deliver measurable impact across large organizations with 1+ year strategic thinking horizon.
• Experience managing teams through long-term, high-ambiguity projects with ability to persevere through uncertainty and make strategic pivots when necessary.
• Exceptional communication and leadership skills with the ability to influence across Data Science and cross-functionally at the company level.

 

Your Location:

 

This position is US - Remote Eligible. The role may include occasional work at an Airbnb office or attendance at offsites, as agreed to with your manager. While the position is Remote Eligible, you must live in a state where Airbnb, Inc. has a registered entity. Click here for the up-to-date list of excluded states. This list is continuously evolving, so please check back with us if the state you live in is on the exclusion list. If your position is employed by another Airbnb entity, your recruiter will inform you what states you are eligible to work from. 

 

Our Commitment To Inclusion & Belonging:

Airbnb is committed to working with the broadest talent pool possible. We believe diverse ideas foster innovation and engagement, and allow us to attract creatively-led people, and to develop the best products, services and solutions. All qualified individuals are encouraged to apply.

We strive to also provide a disability inclusive application and interview process. If you are a candidate with a disability and require reasonable accommodation in order to submit an application, please contact us at: [email protected]. Please include your full name, the role you’re applying for and the accommodation necessary to assist you with the recruiting process. 

We ask that you only reach out to us if you are a candidate whose disability prevents you from being able to complete our online application.